April 1, 2022

April Fool’s Day! Used to be a big deal when we were kids. We’d always come up with some silly little prank or what we thought was a witty joke to tell Mom and Dad. They’d laugh no matter how silly or downright stupid it was. Sure miss those days.

Lori and the boys are doing well. I was worried about Lori as she has a chest cold but it doesn’t seem to be getting any worse. James is flying home from San Francisco today and he was going to divert the jet to Sacramento to pick up Lori and bring her home today but she says she’s fine and needs to stay a couple more days to continue getting things cleaned up in the house.

I think I’m all better. Yesterday I was about 90% back. Serena says she’s back among the living. I don’t know if I can ever eat chicken again, ugh. The thought of it just grosses me out.

I’m going to close today with some alternative views on Ukraine and the war. I’m no fan of Putin but if you read below, it’ll help you understand what’s really going on. Biden and his crew are a mess. Their new narrative is “Putin Price Hike”. They’re blaming any and everything on him. Yes the war isn’t helping the supply chain and will contribute to the coming food shortages, especially with wheat. But all things up to now, high gas prices, inflation in general are all on Biden. The govt. hasn’t even reported March economic numbers and yet that’s right about when the war started. Most people believe what they see and read on the news but read on below for some thoughts you won’t see on the pro-Biden news. Good God.

Winston Churchill famously said, â€œIn wartime, truth is so precious that she should always be attended by a bodyguard of lies.”

We accept that idea broadly. Secret invasion plans should be closely held. The identities of spies must be kept under wraps. New weapons and defensive tools should not be revealed because enemies will be alerted to their potential and begin offensive workarounds.

Still, just because the government has legitimate reasons to deceive the public in wartime does not mean that citizens don’t have a duty to find the truth to the extent they can.

The Russian-Ukraine kinetic war and the broader U.S.-Russian economic war are full of more lies than any public events I’ve seen in my lifetime including Vietnam, Watergate and the Iraq War.

That’s how big the lies are.

The Bodyguard of Lies

Here’s the official U.S. narrative as echoed by the mainstream media: Russia’s invasion of Ukraine was unprovoked, Putin’s three-day blitzkrieg of Kyiv has failed, Russian forces are bogged down and valiant Ukrainian troops are putting up a powerful defense and regaining lost ground with the help of weapons from NATO.

In this version, President Zelenskyy is the new Churchill rallying patriots against an evil dictator. All of that is either entirely or mostly false.

Here’s the real story: Russia’s invasion is the end result of 14 years of provocation by the West, including repeated declarations that Ukraine will join NATO and a U.S.-backed coup d’état in 2014 that displaced a pro-Russian president.

Russia never planned a blitzkrieg on Kyiv. That’s a Western invention intended to make Putin look like a failure. In fact, Russia is slowly and methodically taking territory in the south and east of Ukraine in order to control the seacoasts, eliminate pro-fascist elements in Mariupol and establish pro-Russian autonomous zones in Donbas.

Churchill? Really?

A full assault on Kyiv, if it ever comes, is last on the list. Ukraine may reoccupy a village here and there, but they’re losing ground in Kherson, Mykolaiv, Melitopol, Mariupol, Kharkiv, Luhansk, Donetsk and surrounding areas.

Moreover, Zelenskyy is no Churchill.

He’s succeeded in presenting himself as a strong wartime leader, standing up to the big, bad Putin. But in reality, he’s a corrupt oligarch with millions of dollars hidden offshore. His acting skills have enhanced his propaganda efforts, but it doesn’t take much training to see how phony he is.

Innocent civilians, including women and children, are dying under his failed leadership and inability to come to terms with Putin before the invasion began. In a nutshell, Zelenskyy bet on support from Biden and the West and lost.

There is ample evidence from numerous sources to support this analysis. Some of the best sources come from Switzerland, where military experts are infuriated that traditional Swiss neutrality has been cast aside.

Most tellingly, Pentagon leaks say the same thing. The story from inside the Pentagon is that Putin is not acting recklessly but is being patient and methodical. It also says that, despite some civilian casualties, Putin is actually using a restrained approach. Furthermore, there are no signs he is preparing for the use of chemical or biological weapons.

So what about the economic sanctions? Are they working?

The Most Severe Sanctions in History

Payments in and out of Russia have been blocked. The Central Bank of Russia has been banned from the global dollar payments systems. The same is true for the 10 largest Russian banks and a long list of oligarchs and Russian government officials.

Accounts of Russian targets in Western banks have been frozen. Exports of critical technology and high-tech equipment to Russia have been banned. U.S. and European airspace has been closed to Russian airlines.

Secondary sanctions have been imposed so that if another nation like China sells goods to Russia made with U.S. technology or machines, that nation will be punished also. The list goes on.

Economic sanctions of these kinds sound powerful when they’re announced and do have some impact. But in the long run they never work. In the end, the costs are real but the effects of the sanctions are nil. It’s a lose-lose proposition.

Sanctions Against Oligarchs Are Doing Putin a Favor

Some losses are incurred by those whose accounts are frozen or whose businesses are handicapped. A few Russian oligarchs may lose their yachts, but guess what? Putin doesn’t like the oligarchs anyway.

We’re actually doing Putin a favor by clipping the oligarchs’ wings. Putin’s power comes from the military and security services, not the oligarchs.

Tellingly, the strategic goals that justified the sanctions are never achieved. At most, they are slowed down temporarily. It’s just a matter of time before the affected parties devise workarounds to the sanctions.

The bottom line is Russia has not stood still. Russian exports of critical strategic metals such as nickel, titanium, palladium and aluminum have been cut off. Russian (and Ukrainian) wheat and other grains have also been cut off.

This will result in starvation in certain parts of the world and massive food price inflation everywhere. Given the extent of these sanctions and the retaliation, the damage to world trade, supply chains and even the availability of goods will be massive.

But what about the strategic aims of the sanctions?

Sanctions Won’t Stop the Ukrainian War

Here, the sanctions are a complete failure. They have had zero impact on Russian advances on the battlefield and Russian goals in Ukraine. In fact, Putin has proved to be a master chess player as he runs rings around the sanctions.

When the U.S. imposed sanctions on Russian banks, the value of the ruble collapsed. Still, oil and natural gas exports from Russia were allowed because Europe is dependent on them and the world is facing an energy shortage independent of the war in Ukraine.

Oil and natural gas are paid for in dollars. In a masterpiece of judo, Putin is now demanding that Russian oil and natural gas bought by states imposing sanctions be paid for in rubles. This mystified many. If Russia needs dollars (they do), why be paid in rubles?

The answer is that the only way for Europe to get rubles quickly is to buy them from the Central Bank of Russia using dollars. Under Putin’s plan, Russia still gets the dollars, still sells oil and natural gas but he has the added benefit of making rubles stronger because Europe has to buy them to pay for the energy exports.

Cutting off Russian exports of oil and natural gas is pointless because Russia will just sell the same energy to China and India. But the price will go up. It’s a world market, after all.

Putin’s Many Moves Ahead of Biden

This is how judo works. You use your enemy’s power against him by avoiding the main attack and turning the tables. Putin’s a judo expert in real life and he just demonstrated that he can practice it in economic warfare. The West will now be engaged in propping up the ruble after they did so much to destroy it.

Putin thinks many moves ahead on the chessboard while Biden is playing pin the tail on the donkey, blindfolded.

Sanctions ultimately harm everyday citizens and consumers most. Inflation is surging in Russia and the United States because of the sanctions. But the pain on the American people has only begun. It’s about to get much worse.

U.S. consumers and investors will suffer as prices soar, growth lags and stocks collapse.

This is all unpleasant news for Western warmongers. But it’s critical for investors to know what’s actually going on so they don’t lose money in the chaos to come.

The best information is that the war in Ukraine will last longer than most expect, will produce supply chain disruptions and will amplify the inflation that’s already present.

In the end, Putin will prevail in Ukraine, while the Ukrainian people and Western consumers will pay the heaviest price.

And no, this is no April Fool’s joke. Really the joke is being played on us by Biden and his cronies. The truth always comes out though and it’s beginning to show up with even the liberal media now saying Hunter’s laptop was not Russian disinformation. They can now admit this as their lies served their purpose and crushed Trump. Hunter is going down along with Joe’s brother, sooner or later. And I’d bet Joe is entangled one way or another. You see liars always get caught as they can never keep the story straight. It’s easy to keep the truth straight as it actually happened so you don’t have to remember it. It’s ingrained in your brain. But lies and liars always get caught, sooner or later. No difference here, mark my words. Enjoy the day and weekend, God Bless.

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Denver

Last night we had parent teacher conferences and this morning Ty and I are leaving at 7:15 so he can be at school by 8. Then I’m off to Denver. Lori is in Sacramento and has a bad cold. If it’s worse this morning I’m telling her to just come home. We’ll see. I knew she was getting sick yesterday morning.

I have to stop at the tire place, the distributor and my gold and silver dealer. Important to diversify into some precious metals with the way things are going. We’ve been doing it for years. Inflation and increased government regulation don’t bode well for the dollar or any currency. Daily your money is worth less and less. That’s why people are buying more staples which contributes to supply shortages. I prefer junk silver, meaning coins made in 1964 or earlier as they have 90% silver and are easily used. An ounce of gold is great if you’re buying something for a couple thousand dollars but not for some food. There’s a gas station taking 2 pre 1964 dimes, 20 cents, right now for a gallon of gas.

I’m almost all back from my food poisoning. Serena had a rough day yesterday with the chills and said she felt like she was hit by a truck. Bad chicken is the worst. Hopefully she’s better today too. Time to go and wake Ty. Be well, stay safe and God Bless.

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Where to start

Ok, after I wrote the blog yesterday morning, it hit me. Food poisoning. After scrambling we found a car to drive Serena to the airport for $600 as it was that bad. I had planned on going but barely made it to Vail to drop her off. I then didn’t think I’d make it home. Thankfully I did. We asked Serena if she was feeling ok and she said yes. I spent the day in bed and am 10 times better today but still not back. Unfortunately as soon as Serena made it to Denver, she too was sick. I guess she threw up the whole flight to Sacramento. We’re sure it was a chicken appetizer we had the day before at lunch. What a drag.

I managed to get out of bed to take Lori to the Eagle Airport a few minutes ago for her flight to Sacramento. She’s meeting her stepsister Kathy there and will be back Sunday. Ty and I have a college counselor meeting at 10 so I need to get some rest. Hope Serena is better today. It was a fun trip outside of the ending. Sort of like a good movie with a bad ending. Good news is I’ve lost 5 pounds! Stay safe, God Bless.

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To Denver

Serena and I are off this morning to Denver for her flight home around 2 this afternoon. She picked a good three days to be here as it was nice and warm. She had a fun visit. This afternoon the rain and snow arrives. Lori is off tomorrow for Sacramento until Sunday. Ty was in Steamboat all day yesterday for lacrosse.

I have to stop by the distributor and tire shop once we make it to Denver and then will drop Serena at the airport. With luck, I should be home around 3 or so. Time to get moving, be well and God Bless.

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Aspen

Yesterday we headed to Aspen for some shopping, lunch and sightseeing. It was a fun time. Serena found some new clothes and had fun. We made it home around 5 and then Lori went to get Dixie. She didn’t remember Serena or Annette. Serena even showed her a picture of her, Dixie, Annette and Lori but it still didn’t help. So sad.

We all sat around and watched the Oscars. it was ok but nothing special for me. Ty spent the night at a friend’s house in Edwards and Lori and I will get him after we go to the gym in an hour or so. Not sure what is going on today. The weather has been great and will hold out until tomorrow night after Serena makes it home. Jag left around 10 and headed back to school. It was great having him here all week.

Food shortages are real. You’re starting to see more empty spaces on shelves everywhere. Get ready, things are going to get much worse before they get better. Prepare best you can, God Bless.

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Warm

It was almost 70 yesterday afternoon when Serena arrived. Lori picked her up at the gas station by the highway where her friend dropped her off. I was on the way home from Ty’s lacrosse game. They beat his old school VMS, 5 to 3. After his game, Cherry Creek played a team from Park City Utah. Cheery Creek looked like a pro team. They were big, strong and good. They looked more like a college team than a high school team.

Marty came over for dinner so he, Serena, Lori and the boys and I had dinner together. This morning Jag heads back to Boulder after spending the week with us. It was great to have him home. Lori and I might take Serena to Aspen, we’ll see. Otherwise, we’ll take her to Vail today. Ty played well. On one play he stole the ball and then was tripped and went down hard but bounced right back up.

Meanwhile overseas, Biden continued his gaff tour saying Putin must go at the end of a pretty good speech, basically calling for regime change. To be fair, he of course didn’t write the speech, no Presidents do, but to also be fair, he put his foot in his mouth all on his own with his adlib comments at the end. His aides and staff were scrambling avoiding questions until they could make something up to explain his mistake. Immediately they tried to clean things up but you can bet Putin heard exactly what he said. Biden is backing him into a corner just when there was hope this mess might end. Not now, what an idiot. He just can’t help himself.

Time to go, have a great day and enjoy the weather, God Bless.

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Fun

Yesterday we went to the gym, Jag and I to the range and then Lori and I to the new Sandra Bullock movie, The Lost City. Our little town is so great as our movie theater is like it’s in Mayberry (from Andy Griffith), with hardly anyone ever there, our airport is so small it has zero lines ever, and even out doctors and hospital are relatively easy to get into to. Best of all is you usually see someone you know wherever you go. Small town living at its best. Even the Sherrif and I are good friends.

This morning Lori and I are headed to the gym and then we need to get cleaning as Serena comes this afternoon. We’re having a bbq but first Ty has a lacrosse game at 12:30. Marty is coming, and I think James too but he’s flying back from California today, so we’ll see when he gets in.

Thanks to everyone for all the anniversary wishes. It was a good day. It’s going to be warm today, probably in the 70’s. Can’t wait. Ty just came down for water and is headed back to bed. Jag is still sleeping. have a great day, be well, stay safe and God Bless.

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Happy Anniversary

22 years today! Seems longer, in a good way. No special plans today and we decided not to go out and buy each other gifts. Of course, Lori will get a bunch of flowers as she loves them so much.

Jag and I were in Denver and back mid-afternoon. Around dinner he went to Boulder to hang out with some friends for the night. He’ll be back today. It’s only about a 2 hour drive and he’s young and on break. Plus he slept the whole way home from Denver yesterday. He asked if it was ok and obviously I said sure. It’s his break.

Nice weather yesterday in Denver, about 70 degrees. Warm up here too. Think today will be even warmer.

We both still remember our wedding vividly. Scottsdale in March was beautiful and what a great group of friends and family. I’ve been to a number of weddings and to this day, ours was one of the best, if not the best ever. We’ve done so much in 22 years it’s hard to believe. Kids, travel, tons of great experiences and of course some ups and downs. Mostly ups though. I always tell everyone I “married up” which is 100% true. I really lucked out, but for the most part, I’ve always been blessed in my life.

So here’s to another 22 years! Wouldn’t want to spend it with anyone else other than Lori.

Make it a great day and God Bless.

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Anniversary Eve

Tomorrow is our anniversary, 22 beautiful, blissful, lovey dovey years! Jag and I are off to Denver at 6:00 this morning. We’re dropping Ty at practice at 6:30 am. Hope to be back early afternoon. Lori is taking Dixie to the dentist and then to work. Ty has school. Jag and I went shooting yesterday, or should I say Jag went shooting and I watched, ha. He’s getting really good. We grabbed some lunch after that and then he went to workout.

Getting warm up here, whoo hoo! Going to be a really nice weekend. Good timing for Serena. Time to go, busy day, God Bless.

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Thanks Annette!

4:23 in the afternoon and Annette just texted asking what happened to the blog today! Well, I had a 7am workout and was going to do it when I got home but obviously forgot. Then I took Ty to school and then Jag and I hit the range for more training, and then went for lunch and we just made it home. Busy day.

Lori is in Frisco and will be home around 6:30 or 7. Tomorrow Jag and I are in Denver leaving early around 6:15am. Should be back by 1 or 2. Not much else going on. Getting warm up here. Serena arrives Saturday and we’re having a bbq. More tomorrow, God Bless.

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